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The Georgia Forum |
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Fred Thompson Leads GOP Race 39% to 20% For Giuliani; Clinton Leads Obama 40% to 27% Fred Thompson Leads GOP Race 39% to 20% For Giuliani
Clinton Leads Obama 40% to 27%
Perdue Job Approval At 57%; Chambliss Leads All Challengers In Senate Match-up
Atlanta, GA/October 24, 2007 – Strategic Vision, LLC, a public relations and public affairs agency, announced the results of a three-day poll of 800 likely Georgia voters. The poll has a margin of error of ±3 percentage points. In the poll, 368 (46%) Republican voters were surveyed; with 328 (41%) Democratic voters surveyed; and 104 (13%) Independents and other party affiliation polled.
The poll found that 57% of respondents approved of Governor Sonny Perdue’s job performance, with 32% disapproving, and 11% undecided. Senator Saxby Chambliss received a 52% approval rating with 36% disapproving, and 12% undecided. Senator Johnny Isakson received a 57% approval rating, with 33% disapproving, and 10% undecided.
“Governor Perdue and Senator Isakson remain the most popular figures in Georgia,” said David E. Johnson, CEO and Co-Founder of Strategic Vision, LLC. “Their popularity transcends political lines and is consistent throughout the state.”
In a potential Senate match-up between Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss and Democrat DeKalb County CEO Vernon Jones, Chambliss led 57% to 28%; with 15% undecided. In a potential match-up between Chambliss and Democrat Dale Cardwell, Chambliss led with 58% to 26% for Cardwell, and 16% undecided. In a potential match-up between Chambliss and Democrat Rand Knight, Chambliss led 58% to 25% with 17% undecided. In a potential match-up between Chambliss and Democrat Josh Lanier, Chambliss led 58% to 24% with 18% undecided.
“At this point, Senator Chambliss is well positioned for re-election and is particularly strong in South and North Georgia,” said Johnson. “The base Democratic vote at this point appears to be between 25% to 30% starting off which will pose a challenge for the Democrats to expand upon, especially as Georgia’s Senate race will not be targeted by Democrats due to races with more potential in Minnesota, New Hampshire, Maine, Virginia, New Mexico, and Nebraska.”
President Bush’s overall approval was 36% approving, 49% disapproving, and 15% undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the economy, 40% approved; 43% disapproved; and 17% were undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the Iraq War, 35% approved; 49% disapproved; and 16% were undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the war on terrorism, 52% said approved; 39% disapproved; and 9% were undecided.
“The President’s poll support is far lower then what one would expect in a state like Georgia for a Republican,” said Johnson. “Much of this low support is due to dissatisfaction among Republicans except on the issue of defense.”
When asked if they favored an immediate withdrawal of United States military forces from Iraq within 6 months, 43% said yes; 43% said no; and 14% were undecided.
“The number of Georgians who favor an immediate withdrawal from Iraq increased slightly since our September poll,” said Johnson.
When Republicans were asked if they viewed President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan, 9% said yes; 79% said no; and 12% were undecided.
“The President continues to be in trouble with his conservative base as demonstrated by this question,” said Johnson. “Rank and file Republicans feel betrayed by the President and feel that he has deserted from the conservative path. Republican candidates now barely mention the President’s name and instead invoke the name of Reagan. Yet, as of now, none of the presidential candidates have been able to convince Republican voters that they fit the Reagan tradition.”
When asked if voters approved or disapproved of the way Congress is handling its job, 18% approved; 71% disapproved; and 11% were undecided.
“For Democrats the good news should be that the President’s poll numbers are so low in a Republican leaning state like Georgia that it may affect Republican candidates. Yet the flip side is that voters don’t approve of the Democratic Congress which could hurt incumbents like John Barrow and Jim Marshall,” said Johnson.
When asked if they thought Georgia was headed in the right direction or wrong direction, 51% said right direction; 35% said wrong direction; and 14% were undecided.
When Republicans were polled on whom they would support in 2008 for the Republican Presidential nomination, former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson received 39%; former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani received 20%; Arizona Senator John McCain received 9%; former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee received 7%; Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney received 6%; Texas Congressman Ron Paul received 3%; Congressman Tom Tancredo 2%; California Congressman Duncan Hunter 1%; and 13% undecided.
“Thompson has significantly increased his lead among Republicans and much of this can be attributed to former supporters of Newt Gingrich going for Thompson now that Gingrich is officially out of the race,” said Johnson. “Also noteworthy is that while still far behind the leaders, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is beginning to show some movement particularly among Christian conservatives and he picked up some support from Brownback supporters. A strong showing by Huckabee in Iowa could change the numbers in Georgia which is still like other states, fluid.”
When Republicans were asked how important it was for their presidential candidate to be conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan, 55% said very important; 25% said somewhat important; 6% said not very important; 10% said not important; and 4% were undecided.
“With 80% of Georgia Republicans viewing it as being important, that their presidential candidate is a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan, the key to victory in the primaries will be appealing to that constituency,” said Johnson. “At this time, Thompson appears to be persuading Republicans that he is that man.”
On the Democratic side, New York Senator Hillary Clinton led with 40%; Illinois Senator Barack Obama 27%; former North Carolina Senator John Edwards received 11%; New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson received 5%; Delaware Senator Joseph Biden received 3%; Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd received 1%; Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich 1%; and 12% were undecided.
“Clinton continues to surge in Georgia as she does in other states and is outpolling Obama among African-Americans,” said Johnson. “Edwards continues to lose support in Georgia as he is in other states with most of his ex-supporters rallying behind Obama.”
When Democratic voters were asked what they most looked for in a presidential candidate, charisma, experience, or ideology, 37% selected experience; 29% selected ideology; 24% said charisma; and 10% were undecided.
1. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Sonny Perdue’s overall job performance?
Approve 57% Disapprove 32% Undecided 11% 2. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Saxby Chambliss’ overall job performance?
Approve 52% Disapprove 36% Undecided 12% 3. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Johnny Isakson’s overall job performance?
Approve 57% Disapprove 33% Undecided 10% 4. If the election for United States Senate were held today, whom would you vote for Saxby Chambliss, the Republican or Vernon Jones, the Democrat?
Saxby Chambliss 57% Vernon Jones 28% Undecided 15%
Oct 24, 2007 Strategic Vision Poll
Media Contact: Laura Ward, Strategic Vision, LLC
Ph: (404) 880-0098
Email: lward@strategicvision.biz
Poll Results
5. If the election for United States Senate were held today, whom would you vote for Saxby Chambliss, the Republican or Dale Cardwell, the Democrat?
|
Saxby Chambliss |
58% |
|
Dale Cardwell |
26% |
|
Undecided |
16% |
6. If the election for United States Senate were held today, whom would you vote for Saxby Chambliss, the Republican or Rand Knight, the Democrat?
|
Saxby Chambliss |
58% |
|
Rand Knight |
25% |
|
Undecided |
17% |
7. If the election for United States Senate were held today, whom would you vote for Saxby Chambliss, the Republican or Josh Lanier the Democrat?
|
Saxby Chambliss |
58% |
|
Josh Lanier |
24% |
|
Undecided |
18% |
8. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s overall job performance?
|
Approve |
36% |
|
Disapprove |
49% |
|
Undecided |
15% |
9. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the economy?
|
Approve |
40% |
|
Disapprove |
43% |
|
Undecided |
17% |
10. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the war in Iraq?
|
Approve |
35% |
|
Disapprove |
49% |
|
Undecided |
16% |
11. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the war on terrorism?
|
Approve |
52% |
|
Disapprove |
39% |
|
Undecided |
9% |
12. Do you favor an immediate withdrawal of the United States military forces from Iraq, within the six months?
|
Yes |
43% |
|
No |
43% |
|
Undecided |
14% |
13. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans Only)
|
Yes |
9% |
|
No |
79% |
|
Undecided |
12% |
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is performing its job?
|
Approve |
18% |
|
Disapprove |
71% |
|
Undecided |
11% |
15. Do you think Georgia is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
|
Right |
51% |
|
Wrong |
35% |
|
Undecided |
14% |
16. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans Only)
|
Fred Thompson |
39% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
20% |
|
John McCain |
9% |
|
Mike Huckabee |
7% |
|
Mitt Romney |
6% |
|
Ron Paul |
3% |
|
Tom Tancredo |
2% |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1% |
|
Undecided |
13% |
17. How important is it for the Republican presidential candidate to be a conservative Republican in the mode of Ronald Reagan, very important, somewhat important, not very important, not important, or undecided? (Republicans Only)
|
Very Important |
55% |
|
Somewhat Important |
25% |
|
Not Very Important |
6% |
|
Not Important |
10% |
|
Undecided |
4% |
18. For the 2008 Democratic Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Democrats Only)
|
Hillary Clinton |
40% |
|
Barack Obama |
27% |
|
John Edwards |
11% |
|
Bill Richardson |
5% |
|
Joseph Biden |
3% |
|
Chris Dodd |
1% |
|
Dennis Kucinich |
1% |
|
Undecided |
12% |
19. When making your selection for a presidential candidate, what are you looking for most in the candidate, charisma, experience, or ideology? (Democrats Only)
|
Experience |
37% |
|
Ideology |
29% |
|
Charisma |
24% |
|
Undecided |
10% |
Strategic Vision, LLC is an Atlanta-headquartered public relations and public affairs agency. Results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted October 19-21, 2007. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. Additional information on Strategic Vision, LLC may be obtained at www.strategicvision.biz.
