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The Georgia Forum |
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Guiliani Leads GOP For 2008 -- Clinton and Obama Tops For Democrats Media Contact: Laura Ward, Strategic Vision, LLC Guiliani Leads GOP For 2008 Atlanta, GA/February 28, 2007 – Strategic Vision, LLC, a public relations and public affairs agency, announced the results of a three-day poll of 800 likely Georgia voters. The poll has a margin of error of ±3 percentage points. In the poll, 368 (46%) Republican voters were surveyed; with 328 (41%) Democratic voters surveyed; and 104 (13%) Independents and other party affiliation polled. The poll found that 55% of respondents approved of Governor Sonny Perdue’s job performance, with 33% disapproving, and 12% undecided. Senator Saxby Chambliss received a 52% approval rating with 37% disapproving, and 11% undecided. Senator Johnny Isakson received a 55% approval rating, with 34% disapproving, and 11% undecided.
“Georgia’s elected officials are well perceived by the public,” said David E. Johnson, CEO and Co-Founder of Strategic Vision, LLC. “This bodes particularly well for Senator Chambliss as he seeks re-election.”
President Bush’s overall approval was 40% approving, 46% disapproving, and 14% undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the economy, 48% approved; 38% disapproved; and 14% were undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the Iraq War, 36% approved; 50% disapproved; and 14% were undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the war on terrorism, 48% said approved; 37% disapproved; and 15% were undecided.
“The President’s poll numbers continue to be far lower then what would expect in a state like Georgia,” said Johnson. “Much of the weakness in the President’s poll numbers can be attributed to a loss of support among hardcore Republican conservatives and Reagan Democrats, which began to be noticeable with the Harriet Miers nomination in 2005 and has never recovered. What is of even greater interest is that this is the first time a majority of Georgian’s have disapproved of the President’s handling of the Iraq War which is unexpected in a conservative state like Georgia.”
When asked if they thought the United States was doing everything possible militarily to win the war in Iraq, 24% said yes; 55% said no; and 21% were undecided. “Among a sizeable segment of voters, there is a feeling that not enough is being done to achieve military victory in Iraq,” said Johnson. “It is not so much that a majority of Georgians are against the war, as is the fact they do not support a war that they do not believe enough is being done to win.”
When asked if they would support Congress, denying the funding needed to send the additional troops to Iraq as outlined in President Bush’s surge plan, 38% would support such a move; 53% would oppose; and 9% were undecided. When asked if they believed Democrats in Congress had a better plan to resolve the Iraq War, 29% said yes; 58% said no; and 13% were undecided.
When asked if they favored an immediate withdrawal of United States military forces from Iraq within 6 months, 42% said yes; 48% said no; and 10% were undecided.
“Voters are confused about Iraq, they are frustrated at the lack of progress yet still want a victory,” said Johnson.
When Republicans were asked if they viewed President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan, 11% said yes; 74% said no; and 15% were undecided.
“The President continues to be in trouble with his conservative base as demonstrated by this question,” said Johnson. “This is also why so many Republican presidential candidates are distancing themselves from the Bush Presidency and invoking the Reagan mystique with the major exception being John McCain.”
When asked if they thought Georgia was headed in the right direction or wrong direction, 55% said right direction; 32% said wrong direction; and 13% were undecided.
When asked if they would favor changing the law to allow Sunday sales of alcohol, 53% of the respondents said yes; 33% said no; and 14% were undecided.
“While a majority favor allowing Sunday alcohol sales, support declines significantly the further one is away from Atlanta,” said Johnson. “This issue could become one that pits Atlanta against the rest of the state.”
When voters were asked if they favored legislation that would allow judges to modify prison sentences in certain sex crimes involving consensual acts between teenagers in which the teenagers are serving felony sentences, 42% said yes; 35% said no; and 23% were undecided.
When Republicans were polled on whom they would support in 2008 for the Republican Presidential nomination, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani received 28%; Arizona Senator John McCain received 21%; Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich 14%; Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney received 8%; Colorado Congressman Tom Tancredo 4%; former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee received 3%; Kansas Senator Sam Brownback received 2%; former Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson received 1%; Nebraska Senator Chuck Hagel 1%; former Virginia Governor Jim Gilmore 1%; California Congressman Duncan Hunter 1%; and 16% undecided.
“Giuliani increased his support over the past month, while Senator McCain’s support declined,” said Johnson. “Even more surprisingly is that Guiliani continues to poll better among social conservatives than does McCain and that Romney got no bounce from his official entry into the race. Conservatives for the first time since 1964 have no consensus candidate in this race which is what each of the lesser candidates are basing their candidacies on. Indeed this was the whole rationale for the Romney candidacy, but at this time does not appear to be working, which could pave the way for a Gingrich, Huckabee, or Brownback to emerge.”
On the Democratic side, New York Senator Hillary Clinton led with 28%; Illinois Senator Barack Obama 25%; former North Carolina Senator John Edwards received 18%; former General Wesley Clark received 5%; Delaware Senator Joseph Biden received 3%; New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson received 2%; Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd received 1%; Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich 1%; and 17% were undecided.
“Senator Clinton’s lead over both Obama and Edwards has decreased over the past month and is now the smallest since we began polling this question,” said Johnson. “Clinton’s support has been in decline for the past several months, largely due to the Obama frenzy but now we are also seeing detecting movement towards Edwards.” 1. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Sonny Perdue’s overall job performance?
Approve 55% Disapprove 33% Undecided 12% 2. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Saxby Chambliss’ overall job performance?
Approve 52% Disapprove 37% Undecided 11% 3. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Johnny Isakson’s overall job performance?
Approve 55% Disapprove 34% Undecided 11% 4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s overall job performance?
Approve 40% Disapprove 46% Undecided 14% 5. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the economy?
Approve 48% Disapprove 38% Undecided 14% 6. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the war in Iraq?
Approve 36% Disapprove 50% Undecided 14% 7. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the war on terrorism?
Approve 48% Disapprove 37% Undecided 15% 8. Do you believe that the United States is doing everything possible militarily to win the war in Iraq?
Yes 24% No 55% Undecided 21% 9. Would you support Congress denying the funding to send additional troops to Iraq?
Support 38% Oppose 53% Undecided 9% 10. Do you believe that Democrats in Congress have a better plan to resolve the Iraq War?
Yes 29% No 58% Undecided 13% 11. Do you favor an immediate withdrawal of the United States military forces from Iraq, within the six months?
Yes 42% No 48% Undecided 10% 12. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan?
Yes 11% No 74% Undecided 15% 13. Do you think Georgia is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 55% Wrong 32% Undecided 13% 14. Would you support changing the current Georgia law, and allow alcohol sales on Sunday?
Yes 53% No 33% Undecided 14%
Feb 28, 2007 Georgia Political & Policy Digest Strategic Vision Poll
For Immediate Release:
February 28, 2007
Ph: (404) 880-0098
Email: lward@strategicvision.biz
Clinton and Obama Tops For Democrats
Perdue Job Approval At 55%Poll Results
(Republicans only)
15. Would you favor legislation that would allow a judge to modify prison sentences in certain sex crimes involving consensual acts between teenagers in which the teenagers are serving felony sentences?
|
Yes |
42% |
|
No |
35% |
|
Undecided |
23% |
16. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support?
(Republicans Only)
|
Rudy Giuliani |
28% |
|
John McCain |
21% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
14% |
|
Mitt Romney |
8% |
|
Tom Tancredo |
4% |
|
Mike Huckabee |
3% |
|
Sam Brownback |
2% |
|
Tommy Thompson |
1% |
|
Chuck Hagel |
1% |
|
Jim Gilmore |
1% |
|
Duncan Hunter |
1% |
|
Undecided |
16% |
17. For the 2008 Democratic Presidential Nomination whom would you support?
(Democrats Only)
|
Hillary Clinton |
28% |
|
Barack Obama |
25% |
|
John Edwards |
18% |
|
Wesley Clark |
5% |
|
Joe Biden |
3% |
|
Bill Richardson |
2% |
|
Chris Dodd |
1% |
|
Dennis Kucinich |
1% |
|
Undecided |
17% |
Strategic Vision, LLC is an Atlanta-headquartered public relations and public affairs agency. Results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted February 23-25, 2007. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. Additional information on Strategic Vision, LLC may be obtained at www.strategicvision.biz.
